As COVID-19 cases rise again, oil forecasts fall

The world is past the era of growing crude oil demand and it may never recover to pre-pandemic levels

As COVID-19 cases rise again, oil forecasts fallThe crude games continue. While crude oil markets continue to be sloppy, despite the possibility of a small bull run just before the weekend, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies in OPEC-plus are opting to keep their cards close to their chests. Avoiding any hint about their next steps, after their virtual…

The global energy landscape is changing fast

Over a fifth of Europe’s energy was generated by solar panels and wind turbines in the first half of 2020

The global energy landscape is changing fastPeak oil demand is approaching fast – and earlier than anticipated. It’s not that oil won’t be required in the years and decades to come. It will still be in demand. But the world won’t be critically, crucially and strategically dependent on oil, as it is today. This year may be the turning point for…

Oil demand faces long, slow climb out of doldrums

Despite some oil industry analysts and observers looking at the glass as half full, there still seems to be ample reasons for gloom

Oil demand faces long, slow climb out of doldrumsForecasting crude oil markets remains a matter of perspective. Global oil demand growth is expected to taper off, journalist and analyst Julianne Geiger says, referencing the latest report from energy consultancy IHS Markit. Crude oil demand sits at 89 per cent of pre-pandemic levels, IHS Markit says. It’s expected to rise, then level off at…

Will petrochemicals be the last gasp for big oil?

The pandemic has caused some major producers to pause and defer investments in the petrochemical sector

Will petrochemicals be the last gasp for big oil?With the crude oil landscape changing rapidly, the refining industry is faced with major adjustments. Several oil refiners have announced permanent closures in the United States and Asia, while some high-cost refineries in Europe could also be shut down over the next few years. Margins for processing crude into fuels are expected to remain depressed,…

Are we seeing a partial recovery in the energy market?

Supported by all these bullish factors, Brent crude spot prices rose. Yet oil markets also face bearish pressures

Are we seeing a partial recovery in the energy market?Faced with gloom and some good news at the same time, crude oil markets continue to be in a quandary. Retrenchment and lack of capital investment could eventually lead to crude shortages, argued David Messler in a piece in Oilprice.com in June. The shortage could result in firming up of oil prices. Messler also points…

Trump’s oil industry optimism is misplaced

The pain is only just beginning to ripple through the U.S. industry in the form of bankruptcies and layoffs

Trump’s oil industry optimism is misplacedIn love and war, everything is fair. And U.S. President Donald Trump knows that well. After all, to him, the re-election bid is nothing but war. While campaigning in Midland, a region deep in the heart of the west Texas oil patch, Trump underlined: “And now we're back,” proclaiming euphorically, “and now we're just going…

Oil industry facing (c)rude awakening

The game is up: Oil and gas companies can no longer mask their financial frailty

Oil industry facing (c)rude awakeningThe decline in oil demand accelerated by Covid-19 may be a sign of the future. Forty publicly-traded U.S. oil producers wrote down a collective $48 billion worth of the value of their assets in the first quarter of 2020, the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported. Quoting Deloitte, Oilprice.com points out that the collapse in crude…

Middle East oil exporters facing tough economic times

Despite the recent unprecedented output cuts by oil-producing countries, crude continues to trade around $40 a barrel

Middle East oil exporters facing tough economic timesGlobal economies are in distress. In the United States, the world’s largest economy, jobless claims rose last week for the first time since March. With measures to contain the COVID-19 virus keeping drivers off the road, recent data shows gasoline demand edging even lower. In South Korea, a large crude oil consumer, the economy is…

Crude oil marketplace bubble can’t last

Iran, Venezuela and Libya have virtually been forced out of production. But that hasn’t made the lives of other producers easier

Crude oil marketplace bubble can’t lastAn uneven playing field exists in the crude oil marketplace. Two major producers, Iran and Venezuela, face sanctions on their oil sales from the United States. Meanwhile, Libya is in the midst of civil strife. These circumstances mean a considerable volume of oil isn’t available to the markets. Yet the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries…
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